SYSTEM ERRORS

A database of the glitches, bugs, and blind spots in the human operating system.

Confirmation Bias

The tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one's preexisting beliefs or hypotheses.

The Trap:"You only read news that agrees with you. You ignore data that disproves your theory. You become more confident, but less accurate."
Dunning-Kruger Effect

A cognitive bias whereby people with low ability at a task overestimate their ability. Conversely, experts tend to underestimate their competence.

The Trap:"Amateurs think they are experts because they don't know what they don't know. Experts assume everyone knows what they know."
Sunk Cost Fallacy

The phenomenon where a person is reluctant to abandon a strategy or course of action because they have invested heavily in it, even when it is clear that abandonment would be more beneficial.

The Trap:"Staying in a bad job, relationship, or investment because "I've already put so much into it.""
Anchoring Bias

The tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information offered (the "anchor") when making decisions.

The Trap:"You see a shirt for $100, then see it on sale for $50. You think it's cheap. But is it worth $50? You are anchored to the $100."
Availability Heuristic

The tendency to judge how common or likely something is by how easily examples come to mind.

The Trap:"You see one viral story about a plane crash and suddenly feel flying is “dangerous,” even though driving is statistically riskier."
Negativity Bias

Negative experiences and information weigh more heavily than equally intense positive ones.

The Trap:"Ten compliments can be erased by one criticism, shaping your self-image around the worst moment."
Planning Fallacy

The tendency to underestimate how long tasks will take, even when you have past evidence.

The Trap:"You assume “this time” a project will take two days—then it takes two weeks, again."
Survivorship Bias

The error of focusing on winners and ignoring the many failures you don’t see.

The Trap:"You copy a famous founder’s habits and assume they caused success, ignoring thousands who did the same and failed."
Hindsight Bias

After an outcome occurs, you overestimate how predictable it was beforehand.

The Trap:"You judge past decisions as “obvious mistakes” without honoring uncertainty at the time."
Halo Effect

A bias where one positive trait (beauty, status, charisma) causes you to assume other positive traits.

The Trap:"A confident speaker is assumed to be competent and honest—even without evidence."
Framing Effect

Your choices change depending on whether the same option is framed as a gain or a loss.

The Trap:"You accept a “90% survival rate” but reject a “10% mortality rate,” even though they are identical."
Status Quo Bias

A preference for keeping things the way they are, even when change is beneficial.

The Trap:"You stay in a mediocre job or relationship because switching feels risky and effortful."
Bandwagon Effect

The tendency to adopt beliefs, behaviors, or trends because many others are doing so.

The Trap:"You invest in a stock because "everyone is buying it," not because of fundamentals. The crowd becomes your analyst."
Optimism Bias

The belief that you are less likely than others to experience negative events and more likely to experience positive ones.

The Trap:"You underestimate your risk of divorce, disease, or business failure while overestimating chances of success."
Curse of Knowledge

Once you know something, you cannot imagine what it is like not to know it, making it hard to teach or communicate.

The Trap:"You give instructions that make perfect sense to you but confuse beginners. You skip "obvious" steps they need."
Authority Bias

The tendency to attribute greater accuracy to the opinions of authority figures and be more influenced by them.

The Trap:"You accept a doctor's, professor's, or CEO's claim without scrutiny because of their title, not their argument."
Recency Bias

The tendency to weigh recent events more heavily than earlier ones when making judgments.

The Trap:"You judge an employee's year by their last month. You extrapolate recent stock returns into the future."
Peak-End Rule

People judge an experience based on its most intense point and its ending, rather than the sum or average.

The Trap:"A great vacation with a terrible last day is remembered poorly. A painful procedure with a gentle ending is remembered as less painful."
Spotlight Effect

The tendency to overestimate how much others notice your appearance, behavior, and mistakes.

The Trap:"You think everyone noticed your awkward comment or outfit flaw. You avoid action because "everyone will see.""
Illusion of Control

The belief that you can influence outcomes that are actually determined by chance.

The Trap:"You develop "lucky" rituals for gambling. You think your involvement improves random outcomes."
Self-Serving Bias

The tendency to attribute successes to your own abilities and efforts, but blame failures on external factors.

The Trap:"You won because of skill; you lost because of bad luck, unfair conditions, or others' incompetence."
Actor-Observer Bias

You attribute your own actions to situations but others' actions to their character.

The Trap:"You were late because of traffic (situation). They were late because they're unreliable (character)."
Just-World Hypothesis

The belief that people get what they deserve and deserve what they get.

The Trap:"You assume poor people made bad choices, sick people didn't take care of themselves, victims somehow invited harm."
Gambler's Fallacy

The mistaken belief that past random events affect the probability of future random events.

The Trap:"After five heads in a row, you think tails is "due." The coin doesn't have memory."
Hot Hand Fallacy

The belief that a person who has experienced success has a greater chance of further success (in random domains).

The Trap:"You think the basketball player who made three shots is "hot" and more likely to make the next one, beyond base rate."
Blind Spot Bias

Recognizing cognitive biases in others while failing to see them in yourself.

The Trap:"You study biases and think you're now immune. Meanwhile, your own biases operate undetected."
Mere Exposure Effect

The tendency to develop a preference for things simply because you are familiar with them.

The Trap:"You prefer your company's products, your local candidates, your usual brands—not because they're better, but because they're known."
IKEA Effect

People place disproportionately high value on things they helped create, regardless of quality.

The Trap:"You overvalue your own code, your company, your assembled furniture—not because it's better, but because you built it."
Endowment Effect

People value things more highly simply because they own them.

The Trap:"You wouldn't pay $10 for a mug, but once you own it, you wouldn't sell it for $10. Ownership inflates value."
Zero-Risk Bias

Preferring to eliminate a small risk entirely rather than achieving a greater overall risk reduction.

The Trap:"You'd rather reduce risk from 2% to 0% than from 10% to 4%, even though the second saves more lives."
Normalcy Bias

The tendency to underestimate the likelihood of disasters and their potential effects.

The Trap:"You assume the economy, your health, or your company will continue as usual. You don't prepare for disruption."
Hyperbolic Discounting

Preferring smaller, immediate rewards over larger, later rewards—even when waiting is objectively better.

The Trap:"You choose $50 today over $100 next month. You eat the cookie now instead of the fitness goal later."
Affect Heuristic

Letting your current emotional state influence judgments that should be based on facts.

The Trap:"You judge risks as lower for things you like (driving, your stocks) and higher for things you fear (nuclear power, flying)."
Fundamental Attribution Error

Overemphasizing personality-based explanations for others' behavior while underemphasizing situational factors.

The Trap:"You see someone cut you off in traffic and think "jerk," not "maybe they're rushing to the hospital.""
In-Group Bias

Favoring members of your own group over outsiders, often unconsciously.

The Trap:"You hire, trust, and forgive people who share your background, school, or beliefs—regardless of competence."
Choice Overload

Having too many options leads to decision paralysis, dissatisfaction, and regret.

The Trap:"Faced with 30 jam varieties, you buy nothing. With 6 options, you buy one. More choice, less action."
Decoy Effect

Preferences change when a third, inferior option is introduced that makes one original option look better.

The Trap:"A $50 wine seems reasonable next to a $200 bottle—that's why restaurants add overpriced options."
Outcome Bias

Judging a decision based on its outcome rather than the quality of the decision-making process.

The Trap:"A risky bet that paid off is called "genius." The same bet that failed is called "reckless." Same process, different luck."
Distinction Bias

Viewing options as more different when evaluated simultaneously than when evaluated separately.

The Trap:"The difference between a 65" and 70" TV seems huge in the store, but irrelevant once it's on your wall."
Projection Bias

Assuming your future preferences and feelings will match your current ones.

The Trap:"You shop hungry and buy too much food. You make vacation plans based on current mood, not actual preferences."
Restraint Bias

Overestimating your ability to control impulsive behavior.

The Trap:"You keep junk food in the house thinking you can resist. You expose yourself to temptation expecting willpower to hold."
Reactance

When freedoms are restricted, you desire those options more—even if you didn't want them before.

The Trap:"Being told you can't have something makes you want it more. Prohibition increases appeal."
Proportionality Bias

Assuming that big events must have big, complex causes.

The Trap:"You can't believe a lone gunman changed history, or that a small mutation caused a pandemic. You seek grand explanations."
Naive Realism

Believing you see the world objectively while others are biased, uninformed, or irrational.

The Trap:"You think your political views are obviously correct; those who disagree must be stupid or evil."
Moral Licensing

Past good behavior gives you psychological permission to behave badly later.

The Trap:"You exercised this morning, so you "deserve" dessert. You donated to charity, so you can skip helping a friend."

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